Macron's party leads the parliamentary elections in France. What has the French parliament turned into after the elections French parliamentary elections results


Socialists and Republicans admit their failure, sums up the election Le Figaro. Despite the fact that the centre-right remains the second force in parliament, this can be considered an unprecedented defeat. Compared to the previous assembly, they lose 95 seats. And the government of the left is completely destroyed, having received 44 mandates instead of the previous 302.

After parliamentary elections this year, 75% of the National Assembly is being renewed, this is a historical record, writes Le Monde. Macron gets a very comfortable majority to implement the promised reforms. Another record of these elections is that 223 women were elected to the parliament, in the last meeting there were 155 of them, reminds the publication.

Macron's majority wasn't as overwhelming as some analysts had predicted, notes German Frankfurter Allgemeine. The distribution of seats in the National Assembly opens the door for real opposition. However, the bad news is that the French are increasingly abstaining from participating in elections, and this is alarming, the publication concludes.

Far-right won eight seats, emphasizes the German Bild. And their leader Marine Le Pen is elected to the French National Assembly for the first time. The party won in its constituency in northern France and presented the result as a success. But the followers are disappointed. They hoped for large quantity seats in the assembly after Le Pen's defeat in the presidential election.

Emmanuel Macron consolidated his grip on power after French voters gave his fledgling party an outright majority in parliament. The Times. These elections completed the destruction of the old political order. The main parliamentary opposition - the centre-right - lost almost half of the seats. The party said it was "the end of an era."

Socialist leader Jean-Christophe Cambadelis acknowledged the defeat of his party, but noted that Macron's absolute majority does not correspond to the economic and social realities of France. Low turnout casts a shadow over Macron's victory, writes The New York Times. It shows the indifferent attitude of the French towards Macron's promises. It is quite possible that it will not be easy for him to carry out the planned reforms. "Such a percentage of turnout indicates that the working class no longer wants to take part in political processes," the French sociologist quoted the publication as saying.

After counting 100% of the votes, the party of the new French President Emmanuel Macron "Forward!" became the leader in the first round of the French elections. On Sunday, June 11, 28.21% of voters voted for her, and together with their allies from the Democratic Movement, they scored 32.32%. Thus, after the second round, Macron's party could take 400-440 out of 577 seats in the National Assembly, Kantar Public-Onepoint reported.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has already congratulated Macron on his party's "great success" in the first round of the election, German government spokesman Steffen Seibert said. The Chancellor stressed that this demonstrates the desire of the French to reform.

Both traditional parties were defeated. The conservative Republican Party won 15.77%, while the French Socialist Party, which has a majority in the current lower house of parliament, only 7.44% of the vote. The right-wing populist "National Front" Marine Le Pen received 13.2% and, apparently, will not be able to create its own faction, which requires at least 15 deputies.

Voter turnout was the lowest in 60 years, at around 50 percent.

The French electoral system involves voting in 577 single-member districts in two rounds. In order to secure a seat in parliament already in the first round of elections, a candidate in his constituency needs to gain more than half of the votes. If none of them succeed, then the second round of voting will take place on June 18. The candidate who receives the most votes will go to the lower house of parliament - the National Assembly.

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He is one step away from making his victory in the presidential election final. On May 7, more than 60% of the French voted for him - this is an exceptionally high result, which gives the new president a serious credit of confidence. However, this is only part of the path that he must go through in order to gain real power in the country.

The political system of the Fifth Republic is designed in such a way that the president cannot effectively govern without a strong parliamentary majority. Previous experience has shown that the dominance of the opposition in the lower house turns him into a figurehead.

In this case, the actual power passes into the hands of the prime minister, and the president, who, according to the constitution, has significant powers, becomes the republican analogue of the Queen of England. This is clearly not the scenario that Macron was counting on when he was going to take the Elysee Palace.

New president - old opposition

Macron does not hide the fact that he has big plans: the renewal of the entire political life of the country, the complete rotation of the elites, the restructuring of the French economy. To bring them to life, a strong support in parliament is needed. Remaining a lame duck, Macron would quickly become the target of sharp criticism from almost all sides. The emphasized non-partisanship of the new president is not only an advantage that voters appreciated, but also his weakness: according to the results of the elections on May 7, almost all the main political forces of the country turned against him, having passed into the category of opposition.

For Macron, therefore, control of parliament is vital. It is equally important for his opponents to prevent this from happening. The current campaign for elections to the French Parliament is remarkable for the amazing unanimity of almost all the parties participating in it - to prevent the victory of the presidential party "Forward, Republic!".

The main weapon of the opposition was a simple formula - no concentration of power in one hand. It brought together forces as diverse as the leftist Insubdued France and the respectable centre-right.

The fact is that the routine of pre-election programs, which include raising or lowering taxes, tightening or liberalizing immigration policy, has receded into the background before the main slogans - "The winner takes all!" and "They won't get through!". "Forward, Republic!" actually formulated no clear platform. Its main message to voters is to give a majority to the president so that he can work for the good of France. Her opponents have a mirror position: to cut Macron's wings at any cost.

System "outcast"

All this raised the stakes of the first round of the parliamentary elections to the limit. The numbers show that the presidential party has managed to score an important victory. A third of the votes for a political force that is only a year and a half old is, of course, a success. The old parties suffered a serious defeat.

The socialists continued their dive, started by a failed presidential campaign. Their key leaders failed in the first round, and they will have to leave their seats. The centre-right with their 20% of the vote could halve their presence in the lower house.

The arithmetic here is approximate. France has a majoritarian electoral system. There are no party lists; a specific candidate in a specific constituency goes to the polls. In fact, the country is not just one election, and 577 separate votes. Only those who managed to get more than 12.5% ​​of the votes go to the second round, after which the most important part of the action begins - the formation of blocs and the exchange of electoral support.

As a result, it is often not the one who has the highest personal rating who wins, but the one who managed to be "dragged" by the main political forces. Such a system does not always look democratic, but it effectively cuts out the outcasts.

In particular, thanks to her, whose leader Marine Le Pen is one of the most popular politicians in the country, in the previous composition of the lower house of parliament he had a faction of only two deputies.

Macron is considered the flesh of the flesh of the European establishment. He was economics minister under the previous president and knows France's power elite well. It is impossible to call him a "non-systemic" politician. However, his populist campaign without support from the old parties has undoubtedly made Macron far from being the most typical president in the history of modern France.

The macronists have every chance of winning more than 400 seats in the National Assembly in the second round. This will be a great success for the young president and will put all the cards in his hands.

However, France is a country of unpredictable political turns. On June 11, more than half of the French eligible to vote did not appear at the polls. This is a record figure in the history of the Fifth Republic.

If this trend is repeated in the second round, then the legitimacy of the pro-presidential majority will be dealt a powerful blow. Here it is time to recall that back in May, 61% of the French did not want Macron to have a majority in parliament. The President has yet to figure out what to do with this reality.

Emmanuel Macron. Illustration: Pcsu.ru

France held the second round of parliamentary elections last Sunday. The peculiarities of the French electoral system led to the fact that only four candidates out of 577 required were determined in the first round. Therefore, for the final result, as usual, a second round was required. He defined the final picture.

The election was held a month after the presidential election, in which a "non-partisan centrist" was elected president of France. Emmanuel Macron. Parliamentary elections were supposed to confirm the "mandate of confidence" civil society Macron, and they did it. At the beginning of this year, the EU openly feared that France could become a victim of populism and Euroscepticism. As a result, populism won, but with a different sign and from a completely different direction, from which the EU did not expect it at all. The success of Macron and his party - "Forward, Republic!" (La République En Marche!, REM), which a year ago did not exist even in the project, apparently, will soon become a classic example of intercepting negative processes and managing them in the right direction. The meteoric rise of "Forward the Republic" testifies to the populist momentum in the 2017 elections in France.

Macron's party quite easily won an absolute majority in the lower house of the French parliament - the National Assembly. As a result, the 2017 parliamentary elections changed the entire political landscape of France. But this did not happen in the same way as in the European countries of the Mediterranean close to France. The destruction of the classical liberal system of left and center right did not proceed through the growth of new left and right parties, but through the rise of a rapidly constructed center based on a charismatic figure. The disappointment of French voters with the center left did not lead, as before, to their classic turn to the center right. Instead, voters threw themselves into the arms of Macron - the "new center", although he remained " dark horse» French Politics.

Now this massive "new center" is the Macron party and its ally MoDem François Bayrau rises above the political plain of France. Of the traditional parties, only one, the centre-right Republican party, poses a clear opposition to this "new center" from the classical center right. Left center - French Socialist Party (FSP) due to previous vague policies of the President Francois Hollande suffered a complete collapse in the last parliamentary elections. It has lost ninety percent (!) of mandates compared to the previous composition of the National Assembly. The FSP has dropped from an absolute majority in the National Assembly from 331 seats to 44. General Secretary of the FSP Jean Christophe Cambadelis was forced to retire immediately. Cambadelis did not even manage to pass in his constituency in the second round of the parliamentary elections.

On the fringes of the "new center" and the traditional centre-left and center-right, groups of the "new left" and "new right" settled in the French "National Assembly", irrelevant because of their size. French realities in 2017 are different from the picture in Spain and Greece. Presence of right-wing nationalists from the National Front (FN) Marine Le Pen in the new composition of the French parliament does not look confident. The received mandates are not enough for the FN deputies to create their own parliamentary group. True, the leader of the National Front, Marine Le Pen, was elected to the French parliament for the first time and on the fourth attempt. She will replace her current scandal-laden seat in the European Parliament with a seat in the French National Assembly. The leader of the "new left" MEP will do the same Jean-Luc Melenchon, who won in one of the districts of Marseille. Unlike the "new right", the "new left" Mélenchon's "Unconquered France" (FI) movement and the elected ten deputies from the French Communist Party will have their own group of deputies in the National Assembly.

The general scheme of French politics after the second round of parliamentary elections held in France is as follows:

For the presidential "new center" (parties La République En Marche! (REM) Emmanuel Macron and MoDem François Bayrau) in the second round voted 8.992 million votes (49.12%). It has 350 deputies (60.66%) in the National Assembly.

For the right center (the "Republicans" party and its allies) in the second round voted 4.898 million votes (26.95%). It has 137 deputies (23.74%).

For the left center (FSP and its allies) in the second round voted 1.361 million votes (7.49%). It has 44 deputies (7.63%).

For the "new left" ("Unruly France" (La France insoumise - FI) Mélenchon and PCF) in the second round voted 1.101 million votes (6.06%). It has 27 deputies (4.68%).

For the "new right" - for the "National Front" (FN) Le Pen in the second round voted 1.59 million votes (8.75%). FN has 8 deputies (1.39%).

Now let's comment on it. So far, we are clearly seeing the collapse of the center left. Approximately as many voters voted for him as for the New Left. The center-right lost less than half of the seats in the National Assembly in the 2017 elections. It's hard, but tolerable. The cumulative vote in the second round shows a clear shift towards Macron's "new center". But despite this, the center-right politics retains its potential in the eyes of voters, judging by the total vote. It is not difficult to see that Macron's "new center" with an array of its voters, together with the traditional right-wing center, creates an obvious bias in favor of individualism and liberal-bourgeois values.

But against the backdrop of an outwardly confident victory, the mandate given by the voters to Macron looks dubious due to the record low turnout for the Fifth Republic in the second round - about 42.64%, which Macron's critics on the right and left immediately took advantage of. Similarly, the turnout was low in the first round of the parliamentary elections - 48.7%. More than half of the voters did not come to the polling stations. This is not a good sign for Macron. We can say: France gave him a parliamentary majority, but without much enthusiasm. Absenteeism calls into question the foundations of democracy in France at a time of crisis.

However, it appears that the vote evasion did not affect Macron's "new center" and the traditional "center right" of the Republican Party. More voters voted for Macron's party, its ally MoDem and the center-right Republicans in the second round than in the first round. Therefore, the flanks suffered from absenteeism in the second round: the left parties: the socialists (-0.5 million), Mélenchon's FI (-1.5 million), the PCF (-0.4 thousand), and the right from the FN. About half of the voters (-1.4 million) who voted for Le Pen's National Front in the first round did not show up to vote in the second round. But at the same time, in the second round, more than one and a half million voters voted for FN - that is, twice as many as for Mélenchon's party. Due to competition in the constituencies and the poor quality of the National Front candidates, the New Right won only 8 seats, while Mélenchon's party won 17. Marine Le Pen declared her party the "only force" in the elected parliament that would resist the "dissolution of France ". However, there is really nothing to “resist” with. FN's maximum opportunity in the 2017 elections shows that its candidates made it to the second round in 122 constituencies, which, in fact, is very good for such a party with its reputation. It's just that the FN needs hard work in the districts between elections to defeat the general trend of uniting everyone against its candidate in the second round. And then FN also needs to ensure that those who voted for its candidates in the first round must come to the second round. And more broadly, those who voted for the FN candidate in the presidential elections should vote for the FN party candidates in the parliamentary ones. Without fulfilling all these requirements, FN is doomed to continue to receive “soft-boiled boots” in the next elections.

As for the "new left", their success against the backdrop of the fall of the FSP is obvious. With his faction in the new National Assembly, Mélenchon will be able to challenge the French socialists in the competition for the right to represent left-wing politics before the French voters. And then Melenchon already stated that due to the record low turnout in the elections, the future government "does not have legitimacy to carry out a coup d'état in the social sphere." Mélenchon promises that "not an inch of social gains" will be "surrendered" by the "new left" without a fight. He clearly counts on broad cooperation in confronting Macron outside the walls of the French parliament.

Another result of the French parliamentary elections: due mainly to the deputies of the "new center", the composition of the lower house of the French parliament has been largely renewed. Several prominent socialist representatives, including the four, who had served as ministers in the previous government, lost their seats in the new National Assembly. Prominent member of the Republican Party Natalie Kosciuszko-Morizet lost to Macron's party candidate in her constituency in Paris. former premier Manuel Waltz narrowly won re-election in his constituency, winning 139 votes more than his main competitor. The latter is going to seek a recount.

For the first time in the new convocation of the National Assembly, 431 new deputies out of 577 will start work. About half of the new deputies from the Macron party are not publicly known. Among them you can meet: a mathematician, a former bullfighter and provincial fighters against imaginary or real corruption. In this external sign, Macron's French "new center" strikingly reminds us of the Five Star faction. Beppe Grillo in the Italian Parliament. How efficient will these people be in the National Assembly? But the main thing is that they should be present at the voting and vote as the president and prime minister require of them.

And a record number of women were elected to the new French parliament - 223, or 38.65% of all deputies. And largest number There are women deputies among the new centrists and the left.

Prime Minister and Leader of the Macron Party Edouard Philip announced that France had received a "president and government of an honest majority". Winning an election "commits" the government, Philipp believes. He and the government previously appointed by Macron, in accordance with tradition, will now resign so that the president will appoint a new government from among them. No major changes from the previous line-up are expected, and Philippe will remain Prime Minister.

The new National Assembly will meet on June 27, 2017. On July 4, it will vote for a vote of confidence in the new government appointed by Macron. No surprises are expected here either. Further questions arise. Macron promised to start this summer the most painful of the reforms - reform in the labor market. The reform of labor legislation will simplify the hiring and firing of employees, and will spread the practice of short-term contracts without obligations of the employer upon dismissal. Labor market reforms could stimulate high-profile street protests organized by powerful unions in France. These protests are quite predictable. The only question is their scope. Therefore, most likely, the discussion of labor law reform will begin this summer, but some decisions on labor law reform will only be made in the autumn.

Overall, Macron faces a difficult task. Now his personal rating is 62%. But the low turnout in the parliamentary elections indicates that Macron has yet to convince the majority of French voters that his ideas and legislation will improve their lives. Macron is a political newcomer who has proven to be too good at electoral miracles. Further, his credibility depends on the success or failure of the economic program that his government will adopt and carry out. In practice, this means again that further miracles are expected from Macron.

France's primary problems remain extremely slow economic growth and chronic unemployment. The real growth of the French economy over the past ten years is one percent annually. This is not enough. Registered unemployment has stagnated at about ten percent over the past seven years. Only five EU countries - Greece, Spain, Italy, Croatia and Cyprus - have higher unemployment rates than France. The French youth unemployment rate is 26%, higher than the EU rate of 19.6%. Public spending in France is 57% of GDP, with an EU average of 47%. France's national debt is not declining, but is slowly growing and reached about 96% of annual GDP by 2017. In 2016, French budget expenditures exceeded revenues by €78 billion. The norms of budget savings prescribed by Brussels were not fulfilled under President Hollande. This causes sharp criticism from the European Commission and disputes from Paris.

Macron's strategic goal should be to increase economic growth to at least two percent per year. Reducing unemployment by the end of his presidential term should bring it down to 7%. On this path of improvement, Macron will have to walk the line: to cut taxes in the interests of large and medium-sized businesses without losing budget revenues. Specifically, Macron plans to cut the corporate tax from 33% to 25%, reduce the payroll tax, lay off 120 thousand civil servants, but at the same time reduce unemployment. Tax cuts do not necessarily lead to an immediate increase in budget revenues. Ultimately, Macron must find a sustainable balance between tax cuts and spending cuts. This will be his "new miracle", which the French expect from him. Macron must present them with positive results quickly enough, otherwise his authority will fall as quickly as he has risen. Obviously, by the end of 2017, it will become clear which direction the Macron presidency will take: up or down. So far, success has been too obvious for him.

On June 18, the 2017 parliamentary campaign ended in France. In the second round of elections to the National Assembly, the centrist movement Forward (Republic on the March) of Emmanuel Macron won a landslide victory, winning a parliamentary majority (308 seats out of 577). Another 42 seats were received by representatives of the allied Democratic Movement party. 113 seats in the National Assembly will be occupied by Republicans, 29 by Socialists, 18 by members of the centre-right Union of Democrats and Independents, 17 by Jean-Luc Mélenchon's Unsubdued France, and 10 by Communists. From the "National Front" Marine Le Pen, 8 candidates passed to the country's highest legislative body. Voter turnout was even lower than in the first round, barely exceeding 40%.

After the announcement of the preliminary results of the plebiscite, French Prime Minister Edouard Philippe addressed the citizens who took part in the vote.

“This Sunday you gave the absolute majority to the president and the government. This majority will have a mission: to start acting and taking action in the name of France. With their vote, the majority of the French chose hope, optimism and confidence,” said the Prime Minister.

“Victory obliges us,” Philip stressed. “We believe in France, and now it is important that the whole country is imbued with this trust” (TASS).

At a press conference at the headquarters of the Vperyod party, Charles Feld, a supporter of the movement, assured that the winners would not allow authoritarianism in the National Assembly.

“I think it will be a balanced parliament, representing the most diverse sectors of society. First of all, we must welcome the comprehensive renewal. And, of course, we are not talking about the fact that our party will act in an authoritarian manner. It's not like that at all. Macron made it clear during the campaign that he is open to dialogue with representatives of various political forces,” the politician said (RIA Novosti).

The leader of the Republicans, who have become the country's main opposition force, declared his readiness to work together with the ruling party.

“I would like to congratulate President Macron in a republican way. He is the one who is the architect of this victory, the one who has all the powers to bring to perfection the mission that the French have entrusted to him. This task is great, and I wish him good luck, because my main desire is success for the republic,” said Francois Barouin (RIA Novosti).

In turn, the socialist leader Jean-Christophe Cambadelis announced the failure of the left movement in France.

“The Left must reconsider everything: its form and essence, its ideas and organization. The left must turn the page, the politician said. “The goal is to rethink the roots of progressism, because two pillars – the well-being of the state and the constant expansion of freedoms – are being called into question” (RIA Novosti).

According to Jean-Luc Mélenchon, head of the Insubordinate France, in the coming years, the country's legislative assembly will be ruled by a "complacent majority" that does not have "a legitimate right to believe that they are alone here, have no right to perpetuate this social upheaval, which means the destruction of of the entire social order by destroying the Labor Code” (RIA Novosti).

Front National leader Marine Le Pen called her party "the only force opposing the erosion of France, its social model and identity."

“We are here and we will faithfully defend the French people. We will defend them on our own, both in the National Assembly and during discussions among the general population. We will fight all possible ways with malicious projects of a government that will adhere to the development plan received from Brussels,” Le Pen promised.

“Now we don’t have a faction, but that doesn’t mean it won’t exist tomorrow. I do not lose sight of this goal: to form a parliamentary group within the next few months, within which we will agree on policies along several main lines, while remaining independent, ”RIA Novosti quoted Le Pen as saying.

Insubordinate France candidate Farida Amrani alleges irregularities on election day. Amrani opposed former French Prime Minister Manuel Valls in the 1st constituency of the Essonne department, where her counterpart won by a negligible margin of 139 votes (11,757 to 11,618). According to Amrani, "black" technologies helped Waltz achieve the desired result - this is indirectly evidenced by the facts of non-admission of observers to polling stations.

“We declare our victory and will appeal the results of the vote in the near future,” Amrani said (RIA Novosti).

The results of the parliamentary elections in France were commented in the Federation Council of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

“The second round of parliamentary elections in France only confirmed the trend of the first, and before that, presidential elections. The trend is that the majority of voters reject the former “traditional” parties and candidates, firstly, and general fatigue from politics (low turnout), secondly,” wrote Konstantin Kosachev, head of the Federation Council committee on international affairs, on his page in Facebook.

“There was no intrigue in today's elections, but it is emerging now,” the senator emphasizes. - The main question is how President Macron, having his own parliamentary majority and not in need of political exchanges and compromises, will implement a rather amorphous and somewhat populist election program? Let me remind you: it contains, say, a significant reduction in the tax on business, on the one hand, and a promise to invest 50 billion euros of budget money in infrastructure modernization programs, retraining of miners and the transition to renewable energy sources. And this is with almost 100 percent of the public debt in relation to GDP. Plus, the unresolved problem of legal and illegal migration, on which, of course, the opposition will continue to speculate, friction within the European Union on this and many other topics, the Middle East, where France has a historically special responsibility, and a tangle of contradictions like with the United States , and with Russia.

“Time for election promises for a movement that emerged from nothing, and now a parliamentary party״ Go ahead republic״ left in the past. What the future will be depends entirely and completely, first of all, on Macron himself, who will now have to prove that his victories are really due not only to previous disappointments, but also to the justified hopes of French voters,” Kosachev sums up.

Vladimir Dzhabarov, First Deputy Head of the Federation Council Committee on Foreign Affairs, is sure that after the elections, relations between the parliamentarians of Russia and France "will definitely not be worse."

“I hope there will be some improvement,” the senator said, noting that Germany, which Macron will “look at” (RIA Novosti), already recognizes the ineffectiveness of the sanctions policy.

According to professor of communication history at the Sorbonne, Arnaud Benedetti, the "litmus test" for the newly elected French president will be labor reform.

“It is the Labor Code that is an obstacle to the development of France. And one of Macron's campaign promises was to reform it and do it quickly. Here the parliamentary majority should help him,” the scientist is quoted by tvc.ru.

The new Labor Code will provide more freedom to entrepreneurs, but will reduce social guarantees for employees. Benedetti recalls that such reforms in France never passed peacefully, and the “silent ones” who ignored the elections may soon turn into active protesters. The real test for Macron is yet to come, the analyst predicts.

These elections led to a "historic renewal" of the French Parliament. The vast majority of new people's deputies - 425 people - have never been deputies before. 345 parliamentarians tried to be re-elected to the National Assembly in June. Only 140 succeeded. As a result, the legislature was updated by 75%!
The new composition of the French Parliament is noticeably younger - average age deputies decreased from 54 to 48.8 years. The number of deputies of retirement age has halved. The youngest MP was 23-year-old law graduate Ludovic Pajot, a member of the extreme right.

In the new French parliament, the number of women deputies has risen sharply - to a record. The fair sex took almost 40% of the seats in the National Assembly (obzor.lt).